Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.093997 0.108571 0.124656 0.143725 0.165722 0.190304 0.219872
2026-01-18 0.070756 0.090243 0.113948 0.144911 0.184318 0.232841 0.297211
2026-01-25 0.056966 0.077867 0.105077 0.143114 0.194971 0.263306 0.360396
2026-02-01 0.046680 0.067509 0.096168 0.138504 0.199551 0.284568 0.412315
2026-02-08 0.041068 0.062366 0.093107 0.140745 0.212861 0.318219 0.484408
2026-02-15 0.036255 0.057513 0.089537 0.141336 0.223233 0.348119 0.553860
2026-02-22 0.032655 0.053907 0.087196 0.143187 0.235294 0.381351 0.631714
2026-03-01 0.028701 0.049156 0.082373 0.140299 0.239150 0.401675 0.690696
2026-03-08 0.025513 0.045226 0.078337 0.138064 0.243548 0.422947 0.753142
2026-03-15 0.023409 0.042867 0.076606 0.139440 0.254066 0.455344 0.838045
2026-03-22 0.022363 0.042234 0.077748 0.145927 0.274196 0.506378 0.961702
2026-03-29 0.021069 0.040979 0.077599 0.149967 0.290174 0.551420 1.079067
2026-04-05 0.019745 0.039545 0.077024 0.153255 0.305334 0.597000 1.203664
2026-04-12 0.018298 0.037706 0.075483 0.154504 0.316702 0.636632 1.321395
2026-04-19 0.016667 0.035298 0.072546 0.152587 0.321436 0.663587 1.416327
2026-04-26 0.014922 0.032445 0.068393 0.147671 0.319372 0.676456 1.483137
2026-05-03 0.014060 0.031362 0.067755 0.150062 0.332939 0.722976 1.627066
2026-05-10 0.013124 0.030006 0.066386 0.150692 0.342704 0.762337 1.759562
2026-05-17 0.012386 0.029005 0.065669 0.152666 0.355620 0.809788 1.915495
2026-05-24 0.011330 0.027156 0.062873 0.149586 0.356639 0.830731 2.012319
2026-05-31 0.010428 0.025565 0.060493 0.147202 0.358994 0.854898 2.119408
2026-06-07 0.009864 0.024725 0.059764 0.148669 0.370692 0.902039 2.287553
2026-06-14 0.009682 0.024800 0.061208 0.155587 0.396459 0.985406 2.555167